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US stocks wavered Wednesday after the Federal Reserve held interest rates unchanged in its first policy decision of the year. Wall Street also braced for earnings from megacap tech companies in a day that saw the S&P 500 (^GSPC) vault briefly over the 7,000 mark for the first time.
The S&P 500 hovered near the flatline on the heels of a record close earlier in the session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) ticked up 0.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) was little changed.
The Fed’s first interest-rate decision came and went as expected, as the central bank kept rates unchanged in a range of 3.5% to 3.75%, in a 10-2 decision. Governors Chris Waller and Stephen Miran dissented, voted in favor of a 25 basis point cut.
The spotlight now turns to Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference comments for clues about future cuts. Ahead of Wednesday’s decision, markets were pricing in two quarter-point rate reductions by the end of 2026, according to CME FedWatch.
The recent slump in the dollar (DX-Y.NYB) raised questions over the potential risk of an economic downturn. The US currency rose Wednesday, after sinking to its lowest level since 2022 on Tuesday after President Trump brushed off the deepest drop in the dollar since his sweeping tariffs launched.
The rate decision also comes amid a period of political tension for the central bank, as the Trump administration in recent weeks opened a criminal investigation against Powell over his Senate testimony about renovations of the central bank’s headquarters. Markets are also watching for Trump to announce Powell’s successor, which Trump has said could happen any day now.
Meanwhile, techs are in the spotlight again as a surprise record surge in orders for ASML’s (ASML) chipmaking machines stoked optimism for a long-lasting AI boom. Shares in ASML turned lower, though the spirits boosted AI bellwether Nvidia (NVDA) and TSMC (TSM), which rely on the Dutch company’s gear to produce chips.
The developments have turned up focus on earnings from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META), which have invested heavily in an AI-focused data center buildout underpinned by those chips. The tech giants are scheduled to report results after the market close, alongside fellow “Magnificent Seven” megacap Tesla (TSLA). The reports set the stage for Apple’s (AAPL) quarterly update on Thursday.
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