This post was originally published on this site.
Bitcoin has limped into 2026, flailing in the wake of a gold price boom that’s catapulted it to an eye-watering $34 trillion market capitalization (triggering predictions of even more gains to come).
Sign up now for CryptoCodex—A free crypto newsletter that will get you ahead of the market
The bitcoin price, which plummeted under $100,000 per bitcoin in November, has struggled to regain its early 2025 momentum as Bank Of America’s chief executive issues a serious $6 trillion warning.
Now, with bitcoin and crypto primed for an imminent, “massive” shock, bitcoin-backing BlackRock fixed income chief Rick Rieder has become a surprise favorite to be named as U.S. president Donald Trump’s pick as Federal Reserve chair.
Sign up now for the free CryptoCodex—A daily five-minute newsletter for traders, investors and the crypto-curious that will get you up to date and keep you ahead of the bitcoin price and crypto market swings
“I think [bitcoin] will take the place of gold to a large extent? Yeah, I do, because it’s so much more functional than passing a bar of gold around,” Rieder, whose odds of being named as the next Fed chair have rocketed to almost 40% this week, told CNBC in 2020, adding, “I think bitcoin is here to stay.”
“Rick Rieder’s odds of being next Fed chair have increased dramatically,” Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered Bank, said in emailed comments. “He will run the economy hot which should help crypto.”
BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, led a Wall Street bitcoin and crypto adoption charge in 2023, with the company spearheading a campaign to bring a fully-fledged bitcoin exchange-traded fund to market.
BlackRock’s bitcoin ETF has rocketed to becoming one of the fastest growing ETFs of all time following its early 2024 launch, holding almost 800,000 bitcoin worth $70 billion on behalf of investors.
In September last year, Rieder said he thought the bitcoin price is “going to go up,” advising investors to hold bitcoin alongside gold to give them “a little bit of ballast in the portfolio against potential for currency depreciation.”
Fears of further currency depreciation have fueled the so-called debasement trade in recent months, propelling the gold price towards $5,000 per ounce, while investors have also piled into silver.
Sign up now for CryptoCodex—A free crypto newsletter that will get you ahead of the market
Forbes Digital Assets
Trump has teased his decision for current Fed chair Jerome Powell’s replacement for almost a year now, throwing out different names and keeping traders guessing.
Trump said Rieder was “very impressive,” in an interview with CNBC this week. “I’d say we’re down to three, but we’re down to two. And I can probably tell you, we’re down to maybe one, in my mind,” Trump said.
Former Fed governor Kevin Warsh, who has also been a vocal supporter of bitcoin and crypto, remains the front runner, according to Kalshi and Polymarket contracts, after former favorite Kevin Hassett, Trump’s national economic council director, was all but ruled out of the race.
Expectations that interest rates may fall sharply in 2026 once Trump replaces Powell have supported bitcoin, crypto and equity markets in recent months, with Trump repeatedly saying his Fed chair pick will have to promise to heavily cut interest rates.
“Undermining the Fed’s independence makes holding the greenback a less attractive safety play,” Samer Hasn, senior market analyst at XS.com, said via email.
“For the crypto markets, this “politicized dollar” narrative serves as a long-term bull case, even if current prices are dipping. If investors lose faith in U.S. government debt and the Fed’s autonomy, decentralized assets like bitcoin and “hard” assets like gold, which has already seen skyrocketing prices, become the logical hedge against institutional decay.”