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Key Takeaways
- Bitcoin’s Jan. 1 price history highlights recurring patterns of rapid growth followed by sharp corrections.
- Despite major drawdowns, Bitcoin has repeatedly rebounded to new highs.
- Analysts say seasonal trading patterns offer limited support for a near-term rebound in 2025.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price on New Year’s Day has repeatedly marked turning points in the crypto market’s volatile history, offering a snapshot of investor sentiment as markets enter each new year.
A year-by-year review of Bitcoin’s Jan. 1 price highlights how periods of rapid growth and renewed optimism have built it from a fringe experiment into the mega asset it is today.
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Bitcoin’s New Year’s Day Prices
- 2015 – $314.25
- 2016 – $436
- 2017 – $998
- 2018 – $13,657
- 2019 – $3,843
- 2020 – $7,200
- 2021 – $29,374
- 2022 – $47,686
- 2023 – $16,625
- 2024 – $44,167
- 2025 – $94,419
Early Years
Bitcoin began 2015 trading near $314, reflecting a prolonged downturn following the collapse of the Mt. Gox exchange and waning interest after its first major speculative cycle.
Prices recovered steadily over the next two years.
By Jan. 1, 2016, Bitcoin traded around $436, rising to nearly $1,000 at the start of 2017, a level that signaled growing interest from a broader investor base.
That momentum culminated at the beginning of 2018, when Bitcoin opened the year near $13,657 after a historic rally in late 2017.
The surge marked the asset’s first mainstream breakthrough but also preceded a sharp reversal.
Boom and Bust
Bitcoin’s price fell to about $3,843 by Jan. 1, 2019, as the market unwound what many critics had labelled a speculative bubble.
However, the decline did not mark the end of the asset’s growth.
By the start of 2020, Bitcoin had recovered to around $7,200, before accelerating sharply during the COVID-19 pandemic.
On Jan. 1, 2021, it traded near $29,374, supported by growing institutional adoption and looser global monetary conditions.
The rally continued into early 2022, with Bitcoin opening the year near $47,686, before tightening monetary policy and a series of crypto-sector failures triggered another steep downturn.
Recent volatility
Bitcoin entered 2023 trading at roughly $16,625, reflecting widespread risk aversion after high-profile exchange collapses and regulatory scrutiny.
Prices rebounded strongly over the following year, rising to about $44,167 at the start of 2024.
BTC began 2025 at approximately $94,419, near record highs.
Future Outlook
In 2025, technical analysts suggest that Bitcoin’s recent weakness may persist beyond the holiday period.
Valdrin Tahiri, an analyst at CCN, said seasonal trading patterns offer little support for a near-term reversal.
“Bitcoin’s Christmas performance has been consistent for years,” he wrote, noting that holiday trading has rarely altered the broader market trend.
“Whether the market was bullish or bearish, holiday price action rarely caused a lasting reversal,” Tahiri said.
“Instead, BTC almost always resumed the trend that was already in place.”
With Bitcoin currently trading in what he described as “the final phase of a larger downward structure.”
“Unless a major catalyst appears, the path toward the $69,700 to $71,400 support zone remains the most likely outcome, regardless of short-term holiday price movements,” he said.
“If past cycles are any guide,” Tahiri added. “Bitcoin’s real move may come after Christmas, not during it.”
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