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VEON (NasdaqGS:VEON) has drawn fresh interest after recent trading left the share price at $52.45, with mixed short term returns contrasting with stronger figures over the past year and 3 years.
For context, the stock shows a 1 day return of 1.52% decline, a 7 day move of 0.32% decline, and a month return of 3.01% decline. The past 3 months and 1 year sit at 8.93% and 15.91% total return respectively.
See our latest analysis for VEON.
Even with a softer 30 day share price return and the latest close at $52.45, VEON’s 1 year and 3 year total shareholder returns suggest momentum has been stronger over the longer run. This can shift how investors view both growth prospects and risks around its telecom and digital services footprint.
If VEON’s recent moves have you thinking about where else to put your attention, this could be a good moment to scan 23 top founder-led companies and see what stands out next.
With VEON trading at $52.45 while its analyst price target sits at $76.68 and a model-based intrinsic value implies a large discount, you have to ask: is this a genuine opportunity, or is future growth already priced in?
With VEON last closing at $52.45 and the most followed narrative pointing to a fair value of $76.68, the gap between price and model is hard to ignore.
VEON is executing on opportunities to crystallize hidden value in its fast-growing digital and fintech assets (e.g., possible monetization/partial IPOs of JazzCash, Kyivstar listing, or separate tracking structures for digital businesses), which could positively re-rate the stock, unlock shareholder value, and enhance its balance sheet for further growth or returns.
Curious what has to happen for that higher value to make sense? The narrative leans on steady revenue progress, thinner margins, and a different earnings multiple than today. The full story is in the numbers.
The fair value view is built using a discount rate of 7.29%, with expectations around mid single digit revenue growth, lower profit margins than today, and a future P/E that sits well below the current US wireless telecom industry average. Analysts in that narrative also factor in a smaller share count over time, which affects earnings per share and the implied valuation.
None of this is a certainty. The same narrative flags currency swings, higher debt and competition in digital services as key swing factors. Your job as an investor is to decide whether those assumptions around growth, margins and valuation multiples feel realistic for VEON’s footprint in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Bangladesh, or whether your own expectations differ meaningfully.
Result: Fair Value of $76.68 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, there is still the chance that currency swings in VEON’s core markets, or pressure from higher debt costs, could quickly challenge this undervaluation story.
Find out about the key risks to this VEON narrative.
If this view does not quite line up with your own, or you would rather test the assumptions yourself, you can shape a custom thesis in just a few minutes and Do it your way.
A great starting point for your VEON research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
If VEON has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Broadening your watchlist with fresh ideas now could make a real difference to your next decision.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include VEON.
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