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The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) outperformed its European peers on Wednesday, boosted by commodity prices, after a lacklustre close on Tuesday. Firmer oil (BZ=F, CL=F) prices also supported the index and there were solid gains for basic resources stocks.
Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “On quiet days for earnings reports and economic data points, the [FTSE 100] index tends to act as a barometer for commodity prices. Gold (GC=F) prices have strengthened slightly and are at close to two-year highs, supported by strengthening sentiment around US rate cuts this year. Copper and oil are also providing a light tailwind today.”
“US stock futures are erring on the side of optimism ahead of jobs data expected later on. Hopes for a rate cut by the Fed next month have improved slightly after American retail sales unexpectedly flatlined in December, with shares in Costco (COST), Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT) all ending down on Tuesday.”
It comes ahead of crucial non-farm payrolls data due later today, with forecasts for an increase in hiring from 50,000 in December to 70,000 in January.
The January jobs report usually features annual revisions, which could reveal significant downward adjustments. Fed chairman Jay Powell said in December its economists thought jobs growth was being overestimated by 60,000 a month since April.
Jobs growth in that period has averaged 40,000 per month, meaning revisions could have a material impact on expectations for the Fed’s interest rate decision in March. Odds of a cut stand roughly at one in five.
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London’s benchmark index (^FTSE) was 0.2% higher in early trade.
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Germany’s DAX (^GDAXI) dipped 0.4% and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris also headed 0.4% into the red.
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The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) was down 0.2%.
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Wall Street is set for a positive start with contracts on the S&P 500 (ES=F) and on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) both climbing 0.2%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) also rose 0.2%, coming off a third straight day of record closes.
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The pound was 0.3% higher against the US dollar (GBPUSD=X) at 1.3631.
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